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Israel says it was attacked by 30 rockets from Lebanese Hezbollah, does this mean the beginning of revenge? Expert analysis→

On the 12th local time, the Israel Defense Forces stated that about 30 rockets were fired from Lebanon towards northern Israel, and some of the rockets landed in open areas. There are currently no casualties, and the Israeli army subsequently fired back. Lebanese Hezbollah announced on the same day that it used multiple rockets to attack the military command headquarters in northern Israel on the 12th.

Why did Lebanon launch 30 rockets? Does this mean that there will be a full-scale war between Lebanon and Israel in the future? What impact will it have on the current situation? Let’s take a look at the interpretation provided by Niu Xinchun, a professor at the China Institute of Arab Studies at Ningxia University.

This wave of attacks does not mean the beginning of retaliation

Niu Xinchun, a professor at the China Institute of Arab States at Ningxia University: Lebanese Hezbollah launched 30 missiles into northern Israel rockets, but these 30 rockets all landed in the open space and did not cause any damage to Israel's personnel or property. Why is everyone paying so much attention this time? Because in recent times, Lebanese Hezbollah and Iran have been saying that they will soon carry out large-scale military retaliation against Israel, so many people are worried about whether this is the beginning of Lebanese Hezbollah's revenge against Israel. At least judging from the number, targets and effects of this 30 rocket attack, this does not mean that Lebanese Hezbollah has begun a new round of retaliation against Israel. Because since October 8 last year, Lebanese Hezbollah has been launching rockets, missiles and drones into northern Israel basically every day, and has also caused sporadic casualties to some Israeli personnel. Judging from the scale and location of this launch, Lebanese Hezbollah did not attack Israel's military facilities, nor its civilian facilities, nor its major cities, so it was not retaliation against Israel.

>According to Lebanese Hezbollah’s own statement, this round of retaliation against Israel must hit Israeli military targets, hit Israel’s big cities, such as Haifa, and cause Israel to cause a certain degree of property and personnel losses. So according to this standard, this time is not a formal retaliation, but the situation on the Lebanese-Israeli border is indeed the most tense now. It can be said that the possibility of a full-scale war between Lebanon and Israel is far greater than that between Israel and Iran. The possibility of war.

Niu Xinchun, a professor at the China Institute of Arab Studies at Ningxia University:Because Iran and Israel are still separated by more than 1,000 kilometers, it is not that easy for the two sides to have a direct conflict. of. The Lebanese Hezbollah and Israel are bordering each other, and it is easy for the two sides to attack each other. And for more than 10 months, Israel has been threatening to launch a full-scale war against the Lebanese Hezbollah and destroy the Lebanese Hezbollah. From the Lebanese-Israeli border to a place 29 kilometers north of the border. At the same time, Israel also hopes to resolve this matter through negotiations, but the negotiations have not been able to resolve it so far. After the recent crisis on the Lebanese-Israeli border, many people in Israel advocated taking the opportunity to completely attack Hezbollah in Lebanon. Therefore, the situation on the Lebanese-Israeli border is particularly tense, but so far, Lebanese Hezbollah has not begun to retaliate, and the scale, time and intensity of its retaliation are not yet clear. (Source: CCTV News Client) [Editor: Hu Hanxiao]